Every
four years people question what effect the Presidential election might have on
the national housing market. Let's take a look at what is currently taking
place. The New York Times ran an
article earlier this week where they explained:
"A
growing body of research shows that during presidential election years --
particularly ones like this when there is such uncertainty about the nation's
future -- industry becomes almost paralyzed. A look at the last several dozen
election cycles shows that during the final year of a presidential term, big
corporate investments are routinely postponed, and big deals are put on the
back burner.
The research is even more persuasive on the final year of an eight-year
presidential term, when a new candidate inevitably will become president."
We
are seeing this take form in the latest economic numbers. However, will this
lead to a slowdown in the housing market? Not according to Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac or the National Association of Realtors.
The Impact
on Housing Throughout 2016
Let's
look at what has happened and what is projected to happen by these three major
entities.
"In
spite of deficient supply levels, stock market volatility and the paltry
economic growth seen so far this year, the housing market did show resilience
and had its best first quarter of existing-sales since 2007."
"Recent
data darkened the growth outlook for the first quarter of 2016. However,
despite the disappointing economic reports, we still forecast housing to
maintain its momentum in 2016."
"Consumers
and businesses showed caution at the end of the first quarter...(but) Home
sales are expected to pick up heading into the spring season amid the backdrop
of declining mortgage rates, rising pending home sales and purchase mortgage
applications, and continued easing of lending standards on residential mortgage
loans."
Bottom Line
Even
during this election year, the desire to achieve the American Dream is greater
than the fear of uncertainty of the next presidency.
Looking to Buy, Sell, or Invest? Contact:
David Demangos
858.232.8410
Locally Known, Globally Connected
Luxury Home Marketing Specialist
Global Property Specialist
David@AwesomeSanDiegoRealEstate.com
Our Team Goes to Extremes to Fulfill Your Real Estate Dreams!